Txij li xyoo 2023, tus nqi lag luam ntawm styrene tau ua haujlwm qis dua 10 xyoo nruab nrab.Txij li thaum lub Tsib Hlis, nws tau hloov zuj zus los ntawm qhov nruab nrab 10 xyoo.Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog tias lub siab ntawm cov ntshiab benzene los ntawm kev muab cov nqi txhawb zog rau kev nthuav dav tus nqi tau ua rau tus nqi ntawm styrene tsis muaj zog.Zuag qhia tag nrho, tus nqi ntawm styrene tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv tso siab rau kev taw qhia tus nqi, thiab kev thaiv cov khoom siv thiab kev thov ntawm tus nqi xa mus yuav nyuaj rau txhim kho.
Txij li xyoo 2023, tus nqi styrene tau ua haujlwm tsis tu ncua qis dua 10 xyoo txav nruab nrab.Ntawm qhov tod tes, qhov kev tso tawm sai ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm tshiab styrene tau ua rau muaj qhov tsis muaj zog ntawm nws cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau kev sib raug zoo;Ntawm qhov tod tes, txij li Zhongyuan Roj tau nkag mus rau hauv nqes qis hauv xyoo 2022, nws tau ruaj khov thiab hloov pauv, tsis muaj qhov nce siab.Thaum lub sijhawm no, cov dej ntshiab benzene tso siab rau cov khoom siv zoo thiab kev xav tau kev sib raug zoo los txhawb tus nqi ntawm styrene.Txawm li cas los xij, nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis, raws li cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau kev sib raug zoo ntawm cov ntshiab benzene maj mam poob qis, cov nqi styrene

kuj ntsib downward siab.
 
Tus nqi: Nws yog ib qho nyuaj rau cov roj crude los qhia ib tug unilateral sib, tab sis cov khoom thiab kev thov ntawm cov ntshiab benzene tej zaum yuav tsis muaj zog los yog txuas mus rau lub siab.
Raws li cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, cov roj ntsha tseem yuav hloov pauv mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam nyob rau peb lub hlis tom ntej vim yog macro paj laum hikes thiab txiav ntau lawm.Yuav tsis muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb tseem ceeb, thiab cov nqi roj yuav hloov mus ntxiv nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sib txawv.US cov roj crude yog tsom rau $65- $85 ib chim.Tam sim no, muaj peb qhov xwm txheej tseem ceeb uas tswj hwm tus qauv ntawm cov nqi roj, uas yog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov nyiaj txiag nruj, OPEC + kev hloov kho, thiab cov kev hloov pauv hauv ntiaj teb macro thiab suav kev lag luam.Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog yuav tsum tau ua tib zoo saib xyuas qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev hloov pauv tsis xav txog ntawm cov nqi roj hauv peb qhov xwm txheej loj no.
Txij li thaum Lub Peb Hlis Ntuj xyoo no, cov benzene ntshiab tau tso siab rau cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau ntau (nrog kev xav tau zoo rau cov roj sib xyaw hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab Asmeskas, thiab cov cuab yeej siv kho mob ntau dua hauv Asia, ua rau tus nqi ntawm cov benzene ntshiab hauv kev ua lag luam sab nraud; cov khoom siv hauv tsev kuj tseem ceeb heev. ruaj khov, tab sis nrog rau kev tso tawm sai sai ntawm cov khoom siv qis qis, kev thov tau nce ntxiv).Thaum lub sij hawm tus txheej txheem ntawm cov nqi roj nce thiab downward kis tau tus mob, muaj ib tug muaj zog upward thawb rau styrene, thaum lub sij hawm cov txheej txheem ntawm cov roj nqi txo thiab downward kis tau tus mob, muaj ib tug meej kev them nyiaj yug rau styrene nqi.Los ntawm tus nqi sib txawv ntawm cov ntshiab benzene thiab styrene hauv daim duab 3, nws tuaj yeem pom tau tias txij thaum nruab nrab Lub Peb Hlis mus txog rau thaum lub Plaub Hlis, cov benzene ntshiab tau tso siab rau cov khoom siv thiab kev thov, thiab tus nqi sib txawv nrog styrene txuas ntxiv nqaim, nqaim mus rau hauv 1080. yuan/ton thaum kawg lub Plaub Hlis.
Txawm li cas los xij, nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis, qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov ntshiab benzene ntawm styrene ua rau tsis muaj zog, feem ntau yog vim qhov nce zuj zus ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov dej ntshiab benzene txij nkawm, kev nplua nuj ntawm qee cov ntaub ntawv cog lus, thiab ntxiv rau kev lag luam hauv tsev mus rau East China tank. ua liaj ua teb, uas xav tias yuav nce cov khoom muag.Lub caij no, qhov kev thov rau cov roj sib xyaw hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab Amelikas tsis tau nce ntxiv, uas yog qhov zoo rau nws tso tawm.Txawm li cas los xij, nrog kev rov qab los ntawm kev kho loj rau Asian ntshiab benzene cov nroj tsuag, cov khoom lag luam tau nce ib qho zuj zus, thiab cov nqi sab nraud yog nyob rau hauv qee qhov kev ntxhov siab.
Kev sib raug zoo ntawm kev muab khoom thiab kev xav tau: Kev nyuaj ntawm tus nqi sib kis thiab cuam tshuam kev quab yuam
Thaum muaj qhov sib txawv ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov nqi styrene tau hloov pauv los ntawm kev txhawb nqa mus rau kev tawm dag zog, tab sis cov khoom siv thiab kev sib raug zoo yuav nyuaj rau kev hloov pauv loj.
Ua ntej, nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev muab khoom, pib txij li ib nrab lub Tsib Hlis, tus naj npawb ntawm cov cuab yeej kho styrene tau nce, nrog rau tag nrho 8 lub tuam txhab pib kho kwv yees li 3.2 lab tons ntawm cov cuab yeej tsim khoom.Nyob rau lub Rau Hli, styrene ntau lawm yuav tsum tau txo los ntawm 110000 tons mus rau 1.24 lab tons piv rau lub Tsib Hlis, qhov txo qis ntawm 8.15% piv rau lub hli dhau los.

Qhov thib ob, raws li qhov xav tau, feem ntau cov khoom lag luam styrene qis hauv lub Rau Hli yog nyob rau lub caij so, thiab qhov kev thov rau styrene yuav txo qis.Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm 2021 txog 2022, qhov kev thov rau styrene nyob rau hauv xya cheeb tsam downstream ntawm styrene tau poob qis, nrog rau kev txo qis tshaj 11% hauv 2022. Txawm li cas los xij, nws yog ze rau qhov kev hloov pauv hauv kev tsim khoom hauv xyoo 2022, thiab muaj kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom thiab xav tau sab.

Zuag qhia tag nrho, cov khoom siv thiab kev thov ntawm styrene poob rau lub Rau Hli, tab sis nrog kev hloov kho ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau, nws yuav nyuaj rau cov khoom siv thiab kev thov kev sib raug zoo ntawm styrene hloov pauv, ua rau nws nyuaj rau unilaterally tsav tus nqi ntawm styrene. .Tus nqi ntawm styrene tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv tso siab rau tus nqi ntawm cov txheej txheem hloov pauv.